Price/cost/demand roundup

Average Product Prices(super1) Direct Mfg. Costs(super2) Growth in U.S. End Markets (super3) Change, %, During 12 Mo Ending... and Margins Grade Change, %, During 12 Mo Ending... Industry SIC Jan 99 Apr 99 Costs are.

07/01/1999


Average Product Prices(super1) Direct Mfg. Costs(super2) Growth in U.S. End Markets (super3)

Change, %, During 12 Mo Ending... and Margins Grade Change, %, During 12 Mo Ending...

Industry SIC Jan 99 Apr 99 Costs are... Grade Jan 99 Apr 99

Wood pallets and skids 2448 3.16 1.95 Stable B 2.25 2.08

Polishes and sanitation goods 2842 1.99 2.19 Rising A 3.29 2.85

Surface active agents 2843 0.62 0.09 Rising A 1.12 0.42

Adhesives and sealants 2891 1.88 1.75 Rising A 6.16 6.75

Lubricating oils and greases 2992 0.39 0.34 Rising fast B 4.04 3.72

Rubber and plastics hose

and belting* 3052 na na Stable na 5.49 5.49

Abrasive products 3291 0.46 -0.08 Stable A 6.65 6.58

Steel wire and

related products 3315 1.23 -0.13 Stable A 4.02 4.45

Copper rolling and drawing 3351 -13.27 -12.80 Rising A 11.38 12.20

Nonferrous wire drawing

and insulating 3357 -4.85 -5.17 Rising A 14.94 15.70

Heating equipment,

except electric 3433 1.49 1.48 Stable A 4.12 4.50

Fabricated plate work and

boiler shops 3443 1.96 2.22 Stable A 5.19 5.36

Bolts, nuts, rivets, and

washers 3452 1.17 0.78 Stable A 4.07 4.53

Industrial valves 3491 2.46 2.66 Stable A 3.30 3.14

Fluid power valves and

hose fittings 3492 1.65 1.58 Stable A 3.30 3.14

Other valves and pipe fittings 3494 1.69 1.04 Stable A+ 3.30 3.14

Miscellaneous fabricated

wire products 3496 1.13 1.03 Stable A 5.91 6.07

Fabricated pipe and fittings 3498 -1.36 -2.71 Rising B 3.30 3.14

Ball and roller bearings 3562 1.14 1.10 Stable A+ 3.54 2.96

(super1) Average product price changes are calculated from the producer price index for each 4-digit SIC (standard industrial classification) industry from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

(super2) Analyses of each industry's direct manufacturing cost changes are from Thinking Cap Solutions, Inc.'s proprietary Industry Cost Escalation (ICE) model. The "grade" indicates that recent price/cost changes have produced record high (A+) margins to average margins (C) to record low (F-) margins for the average producer in an industry. Grades of A to A+ mean plant engineers may be able to strike a better bargain with suppliers and better control plant costs.

(super3) Growth in U.S. end markets data are from the ICE model and are estimates of output for the domestic end markets which purchase a given industry's products.

*Price data are not available (na) for rubber hose and belting and cost data from the ICE model are shown instead.

All data prepared and presented by Thinking Cap Solutions, Inc., Port Angeles, WA (telephone: 360-452-6159; e-mail: thinkcap@olypen.com).





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