Light and Building 2012 - LEDs need to evolve from the next greatest gadget into a light bulb

Each new LED lamp with its own placard expressing, with great enthusiasm, its features such as dimmability, total lumens and lm/W or claiming it to be the perfect replacement for “fill in the blank here”!

04/23/2012


At Light and Building in Frankfurt last week, I was first impressed, then overwhelmed by the sheer number of LED lamps on display at the show. Each new product with its own placard expressing, with great enthusiasm, its features such as dimmability, total lumens and lm/W or claiming it to be the perfect replacement for “fill in the blank here”!

As I was leaving one of the many halls at the show, two major thoughts crossed my mind. 1) There sure are a lot of ice-cream stalls here and 2) Consumers are going to have a very difficult time choosing the right LED replacement for their 60 W A lamp.

First, consumers will have to choose between LEDs and much more familiar technologies such as CFLs and halogen lamps. Their choices will be based on the following basic factors:

  1. Halogen, which looks and behaves almost identically (short life and all) to their beloved incandescent, but, is 3-5 times more expensive.

  2. The much maligned CFL, which has a longer life than incandescent but contains toxic mercury, is accused of giving off “too white” light, has a shortened life when turned on and off too frequently and can also costs 3-5 times more than regular incandescent.

  3. LEDs, which can have a very similar light to incandescent, are marketed to have 25 times the lifetime of an incandescent, but also cost 20 times more. LEDs also benefit from the fact that they have been marketed as the next best thing since sliced bread by government, media and industry alike.

Let’s simplify by assuming that there are two kinds of buyers: early adopters and general consumers.

Early movers in this market are more willing to pay the high price of LED lamps but will also be more likely to spend the considerable amount of time needed to learn terms, definitions, specs and distinguishing factors between competitors. As such, they are more likely to go for the “gadget lamp” that stands out against the conventional technology it is replacing. What better way to get their peers to recognize the new gadget and therefore their purchasing prowess.

General consumers will generally go for the halogen or CFL until LED lamp price decreases sufficiently. These consumers will be less likely to conduct as detailed research as the early mover, and will therefore probably base more of their purchasing decision on their “gut feeling” on the lamp. They are not looking for the next best gadget to show their friends, but will be looking to purchase what is familiar to them, a regular old light bulb to fill their empty socket at home.



Top Plant
The Top Plant program honors outstanding manufacturing facilities in North America. View the 2017 Top Plant.
Product of the Year
The Product of the Year program recognizes products newly released in the manufacturing industries.
System Integrator of the Year
Each year, a panel of Control Engineering and Plant Engineering editors and industry expert judges select the System Integrator of the Year Award winners in three categories.
February 2018
2017 Product of the Year winners, retrofitting a press, IMTS and Hannover Messe preview, natural refrigerants, testing steam traps
March 2018
SCCR, 2018 Maintenance study, and VFDs in a washdown environment.
Jan/Feb 2018
Welding ergonomics, 2017 Salary Survey, and surge protection
April 2018
ROVs, rigs, and the real time; wellsite valve manifolds; AI on a chip; analytics use for pipelines
February 2018
Focus on power systems, process safety, electrical and power systems, edge computing in the oil & gas industry
December 2017
Product of the Year winners, Pattern recognition, Engineering analytics, Revitalize older pump installations
April 2018
Implementing a DCS, stepper motors, intelligent motion control, remote monitoring of irrigation systems
February 2018
Setting internal automation standards
December 2017
PID controllers, Solar-powered SCADA, Using 80 GHz radar sensors

Annual Salary Survey

Before the calendar turned, 2016 already had the makings of a pivotal year for manufacturing, and for the world.

There were the big events for the year, including the United States as Partner Country at Hannover Messe in April and the 2016 International Manufacturing Technology Show in Chicago in September. There's also the matter of the U.S. presidential elections in November, which promise to shape policy in manufacturing for years to come.

But the year started with global economic turmoil, as a slowdown in Chinese manufacturing triggered a worldwide stock hiccup that sent values plummeting. The continued plunge in world oil prices has resulted in a slowdown in exploration and, by extension, the manufacture of exploration equipment.

Read more: 2015 Salary Survey

The Maintenance and Reliability Coach's blog
Maintenance and reliability tips and best practices from the maintenance and reliability coaches at Allied Reliability Group.
One Voice for Manufacturing
The One Voice for Manufacturing blog reports on federal public policy issues impacting the manufacturing sector. One Voice is a joint effort by the National Tooling and Machining...
The Maintenance and Reliability Professionals Blog
The Society for Maintenance and Reliability Professionals an organization devoted...
Machine Safety
Join this ongoing discussion of machine guarding topics, including solutions assessments, regulatory compliance, gap analysis...
Research Analyst Blog
IMS Research, recently acquired by IHS Inc., is a leading independent supplier of market research and consultancy to the global electronics industry.
Marshall on Maintenance
Maintenance is not optional in manufacturing. It’s a profit center, driving productivity and uptime while reducing overall repair costs.
Lachance on CMMS
The Lachance on CMMS blog is about current maintenance topics. Blogger Paul Lachance is president and chief technology officer for Smartware Group.
Maintenance & Safety
The maintenance journey has been a long, slow trek for most manufacturers and has gone from preventive maintenance to predictive maintenance.
Industrial Analytics
This digital report explains how plant engineers and subject matter experts (SME) need support for time series data and its many challenges.
IIoT: Operations & IT
This digital report will explore several aspects of how IIoT will transform manufacturing in the coming years.
Randy Steele
Maintenance Manager; California Oils Corp.
Matthew J. Woo, PE, RCDD, LEED AP BD+C
Associate, Electrical Engineering; Wood Harbinger
Randy Oliver
Control Systems Engineer; Robert Bosch Corp.
Data Centers: Impacts of Climate and Cooling Technology
This course focuses on climate analysis, appropriateness of cooling system selection, and combining cooling systems.
Safety First: Arc Flash 101
This course will help identify and reveal electrical hazards and identify the solutions to implementing and maintaining a safe work environment.
Critical Power: Hospital Electrical Systems
This course explains how maintaining power and communication systems through emergency power-generation systems is critical.
click me