PMI Index increase part of the spring thaw

As weather improves, index rises for second straight month

04/03/2014


Manufacturing continued its spring thaw in March, as the monthly PMI Report from the Institute of Supply Management showed an increase to 53.7%. That's up five-tenths of a point from the February figure and more than 2 full points ahead of the January PMI.

Weather conditions in the U.S. have been blamed for much of the manufacturing slowdown after the PMI stayed around 56% in the second half of 2013. The rebound is slower than some economists expected, but the March numbers still mean 10 consecutive months of growth in the manufacturing sector.

"Employment grew for the ninth consecutive month, but at a lower rate by 1.2 percentage points, registering 51.1 percent compared to February's reading of 52.3 percent," said Bradley J. Holcomb, chairman of ISM's Manufacturing Business Survey Committee. "Several comments from the panel reflect favorable demand and good business conditions, with some lingering concerns about the particularly adverse weather conditions across the country."

The monthly PMI Report from the Institute of Supply Management showed an increase to 53.7%, which is up two points from January. Courtesy: Institute for Supply ManagementAmong the comments from survey respondents:

  • "First quarter business still strong." (Fabricated Metal Products)
  • "Business beginning to heat-up, along with the weather." (Petroleum & Coal Products)
  • "Business is good and we are optimistic that orders will continue to come in at a decent pace." (Transportation Equipment)
  • "Export orders are picking up - volume is improving although pricing, and thus profitability, are still challenged. Domestic business seems to be holding steady despite earlier predicted declines." (Chemical Products)
  • "Weather has created major delays on inbound materials and outbound sales. We need spring." (Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products)

A PMI above 43.2% indicates an expansion in the overall economy, so March's figure marked the 58th straight month the PMI stayed above that growth level.

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Before the calendar turned, 2016 already had the makings of a pivotal year for manufacturing, and for the world.

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