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Buyers should target hoists & pumps

By Staff -- Plant Engineering, 9/1/2000

Plant engineers can find some excellent negotiation opportunities among suppliers of factory equipment. That's because slowing end-market demand and high margins make suppliers vulnerable to the aggressive buyer. The key is to find suppliers who enjoyed deflation-related margin gains in the last few years of the 1990s.

For example, consider suppliers of hoists, cranes, and monorails. During the year ending June 2000, U.S. end markets for SIC 3536 grew at a rate of 4.72%. This growth rate is slow by historical standards. Despite slow demand, producers pushed average prices ahead by 1.65% over the past 12 mo. With manufacturing costs remaining stable, the industry managed to earn $1.74 more (for every $100 in sales) than was earned on average over the past 5 yr.

The pumps and pumping equipment (SIC 3561) industry also continues to enjoy a deflation-related margin windfall. Here, this industry tends to push product prices ahead in a slow and steady manner. Often price hikes are not linked to changes in manufacturing costs. However, over the last 12 mo, manufacturing costs increased 2.37% while product prices rose just 1.67%.

Price/cost/demand roundup

Industry

SIC

Average Product Prices1Change, %, During 12-Mo Ending...Mar 00

Average Product Prices1 Change, %, During 12-Mo Ending...June 00

Direct Mfg. Costs²and Margins Grade Costs are...

Direct Mfg. Costs²and Margins Grade Grade

Growth in U.S. End Markets3Change, %, During 12-Mo Ending... Mar 00

Growth in U.S. End Markets3Change, %, During 12-Mo Ending... Jun 00

Other hand and edge tools

3423

1.12

1.10

Stable

C

6.35

6.13

Hand saws and saw blades

3425

-0.03

0.06

Rising

C

4.76

4.74

Other hardware

3429

1.85

2.21

Stable

B

6.01

5.20

Other power transmission equipment

3568

2.40

1.72

Stable

B

1.35

3.20

Conveyors and conveying equipment

3535

1.42

1.13

Stable

B

0.38

2.19

Hoists, cranes, and monorails

3536

1.66

1.65

Stable

A

4.06

4.72

Industrial trucks and tractors

3537

0.14

0.28

Stable

F

2.47

4.30

Metal-cutting machine tools

3541

0.53

0.66

Stable

D

9.78

11.43

Machine tool accessories

3545

0.59

0.55

Stable

F

8.71

9.02

Power-driven hand tools

3546

0.46

0.33

Stable

D

4.10

4.20

Welding apparatus

3548

1.52

1.54

Rising

C

3.73

3.40

Pumps and pumping equipment

3561

1.70

1.67

Stable

A

2.70

3.43

Air and gas compressors

3563

1.53

1.30

Stable

C

2.70

3.43

Speed changers, drives, and gears

3566

2.01

2.05

Stable

C

1.35

3.20

Transformers

3612

2.04

3.24

Stable

B

27.56

28.71

Motors and generators

3621

-0.05

-0.08

Stable

F

25.09

24.27

Process control instruments

3823

0.88

0.86

Stable

B

4.24

1.71

Fluid meters and counting devices

3824

0.49

0.85

Stable

F-

4.24

1.71

Instruments to measure electricity

3825

0.14

0.83

Stable

F

36.52

40.02


1Average product price changes are calculated from the producer price index for each 4-digit SIC (standard industrial classification) industry from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

²Analyses of each industry's direct manufacturing cost changes are from Thinking Cap Solutions, Inc.'s proprietary Industry Cost Escalation (ICE) model. The "grade" indicates that recent price/cost changes have produced record high (A+) margins to average margins (C) to record low (F-) margins for the average producer in an industry. Grades of A to A+ mean plant engineers may be able to strike a better bargain with suppliers and better control plant costs.

3Growth in U.S. end markets data are from the ICE model and are estimates of output for the domestic end markets which purchase a given industry's products.

All data prepared and presented by Thinking Cap Solutions, Inc., Port Angeles, WA (telephone: 360-452-6159; e-mail: ebaatz@ice-alert.com).

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